Understanding the Green Premium

By Trevor Getz
Understanding the green premium can be a helpful way to evaluate climate solutions and focus our efforts. Explore the ways we can reduce the green premium to make climate-friendly options more affordable and widespread.

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Visual comparing current cost to zero emissions cost, highlighting the additional expense for low to zero carbon alternatives, known as the green premium.

Why do we talk about money when we talk about climate change? Isn’t it worth any cost to save humanity? The truth is that governments, businesses, and individuals have limited resources. We must make choices about which policies and products we adopt, and yes, those choices are primarily driven by one thing: money.

Fossil fuels are cheap, as in, cheaper-than-a-soft-drink cheap, and it’s no surprise they cost so little. For more than two centuries, we’ve developed systems and policies to keep fossil fuels affordable and keep the great wheel of industry turning. That cheap energy has been good for global economic growth, but it has come at a great cost— greenhouse gas emissions. Moving away from fossil fuels will mean moving to sources of energy that are more expensive, at least in the short term. As mentioned above, this additional expense is called the green premium.

Bar graph comparing the average costs of plant-based options with ground beef. Plant-based burgers and patties cost $5.76, plant-based ground alternatives cost $5.04 and ground beef cost $3.79.

Hamburgers are a great example for understanding the concept of the green premium. If a pound of ground beef costs $3.79 and plant-based grounds cost $5.04, the green premium of making your own burgers with low-greenhouse gas meat is RichTextPlaceholder ssa__rte-embed ssa__rte-embed--right.25. Courtesy of Breakthrough Energy.

Why does the green premium matter? As we work to adapt to climate change and reduce emissions, we need to ensure that everyone has access to zero- carbon options. That way, a country won’t have to choose between development and keeping emissions low. To ensure the fastest and fairest transition to net-zero emissions, low-carbon technologies must be the cheapest technologies.

Calculating green premiums is not an exact science. Prices of different goods and services can go up or down over time and vary from place to place. Still, the green premium can be helpful when evaluating climate solutions, as it can help us decide where to focus our efforts. If a low- or zero-carbon solution’s green premium is small, we can focus on using that solution now. If a solution’s green premium is large, we will need to innovate to make its cost lower. Sometimes, a solution is not widely used despite having a small green premium. More effort must be put into making people aware of the solution or into changing outdated policies.

Let’s explore what we can do to lower the green premium and increase the accessibility of climate solutions.

Reducing the green premium

We need to reduce the green premium so that zero-carbon solutions are as cheap or cheaper than their traditional counterparts. Closing that gap is more challenging for some products. For example, the green premium for zero- carbon electricity in the United States adds about 15 percent to what most people pay now. Swapping out traditional jet fuel for zero-carbon biofuel would involve a much bigger green premium, one that raises costs by 140 percent. The bigger the green premium, the harder it will be to reduce a product’s emissions.

The green premium is much higher for many products simply because they cost a lot more to make. Fossil fuels have a 200-year head start on most zero-carbon technologies. It takes a long time to develop new products and lower their production costs. But we don’t have a long time. We need to innovate and develop these new products as quickly as possible.

Graph showing the number of years it takes to transition to new energy sources comparing coal, oil, natural gas, and modern renewables.

Historically, it takes a long time to transition to new energy sources. But to lower the green premium for carbon-neutral technologies such as modern renewables, as shown in this graph, we need to speed up the pace of innovation, development, and adoption. From How to Avoid a Climate Disaster, by Bill Gates.

Let’s look at the roles governments, businesses, and individuals can play in driving innovation.

Governments

To start, we need governments to step in and help fund research and development. Governments can take on risks that private companies are unwilling to take for fear of losing money. Once new products are developed, governments can buy them in large quantities. For example, they can announce that they will only buy carbon- negative cement for all new government building projects. This will help create a market for the cement and lower prices.

An arrow diagram showing the cyclic process of technologies becoming cheaper with increased production. More deployment leads to prices falling which makes it more competitive in new markets and results in demand increasing.

This chart demonstrates the way that technologies become cheaper with increasing production in a positive feedback cycle. By Our World in Data, CC-BY.

Governments can support low- or zero-carbon solutions by lowering production costs. If a private company cannot develop a carbon-neutral product that is cheap enough to be practical, governments can step in and help pay production costs, making the product more affordable for consumers. Governments can also make a difference through their policy choices. They can pass laws that require minimum standards for low- carbon technology use. For example, they can require that a certain amount of electricity for a public utility be generated in a certain way.

Business

Private companies also have an important role to play. Because they often can work more quickly than governments can, businesses are important drivers of research and development. By focusing on producing a product as cheaply as possible and in large quantities, they can lower a product’s green premium and make it widely available.

Like governments, businesses can use their buying power to drive demand for low-carbon products. When companies consume clean technology, they help build a market for that product, which, in turn, drives down costs and makes the product more affordable for everyone.

Individuals

Individuals can help create markets for zero-carbon products. Consumers are showing that they’re increasingly willing to pay more for climate-friendly products. Demand for products like energy-efficient appliances and electric vehicles is increasing despite the green premium they often carry. A recent study found that buying carbon-neutral soap or diapers would cost a consumer an additional 8 to 9 percent. The same study also found that more families are willing to pay that premium. Of course, not all consumers are able to choose the more expensive option, but those who can are increasingly deciding it’s worth spending more to support products that have a lower carbon impact. These choices signal to businesses that there’s demand for these products. Increased demand encourages increased production and more research, which can ultimately lower costs for everyone.

Conclusion

Moving toward net-zero emissions will be hard, and it will be expensive. Our societies have limited resources, which are distributed unequally. For the sake of our health, our environment, and our livelihoods, we need to find innovative ways to overcome the obstacles presented by the green premium. Companies, individuals, and governments all have a role to play. Together, they must ensure that the costs of climate change are distributed fairly and efficiently.

Trevor Getz

Trevor Getz is a content editor for the Climate Project and a Professor of African and World History and affiliated with the Education program at San Francisco State University. His work centers on history and social studies as a vehicle for helping students understand contemporary issues such as climate change.

Credit: “Understanding the Green Premium”, Trevor Getz / OER Project, https://www.oerproject.com/

Image credits

Creative Commons This work is licensed under CC BY 4.0 except for the following:

Cover image: The green premium—the additional cost of choosing a clean technology over one that emits more greenhouse gases—can help inform decisions when it comes to climate action. Courtesy of The Gates Notes https://www.gatesnotes.com/Lowering-Green-Premiums.

Hamburgers are a great example to help understand the concept of the green premium. If a pound of ground beef costs $3.79 and plant-based grounds cost $5.04, the green premium of making your own burgers with low-greenhouse gas meat is $1.25. Courtesy of Breakthrough Energy. https://breakthroughenergy.org/our-approach/the-green-premium/

Historically, it takes a really long time to transition to new energy sources. But to lower the green premium for carbon-neutral technologies, like modern renewables shown in this graph, we need to speed up the pace of innovation, development, and adoption. From How to Avoid a Climate Disaster, by Bill Gates.

This chart demonstrates the way that technologies become cheaper with increasing production in a positive feedback cycle. By Our World in Data, CC-BY. https://ourworldindata.org/cheap-renewables-growth


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