Envisioning a Climate Future
Today, climate change is already transforming natural systems around the world. Sea levels and average temperatures are rising. Still, unless you’re caught in a big storm or drought, you may not notice those changes. In the future, we will start seeing changes that are more obvious and extreme.
Our Health
The warming of our planet is increasing the frequency of extreme weather events like major floods and storms. However, there’s still some good news: In the last 100 years, deaths from natural disasters have fallen by more than 75 percent compared to the global population. This steep decline is the result of two things: better warning systems and infrastructure improvements. Infrastructure includes things like buildings, roads, bridges, and power lines.
This trend is promising. But we also know that disaster prevention and relief are often expensive. Wealthy countries like the United States will be well-equipped to deal with natural disasters. On the other hand, the world’s poorest nations lack the resources to prepare for disasters and to respond effectively when they occur. They will continue to suffer the most extreme impacts of climate change.
Climate change will likely increase the spread of disease. Warmer temperatures are pushing species into new areas, and these species bring their diseases with them. Tropical bats seeking cooler temperatures may introduce a new virus to animals hundreds or even thousands of miles away. It’s not just bats. Scientists predict climate change will cause thousands of animals to shift their ranges. Tropical diseases like malaria and dengue could affect more people in new areas in the coming decades.
We know that climate change will make most places hotter. Today, around 8 million Americans experience temperatures above 125 degrees Fahrenheit (51.7 degrees Celsius) at least once a year. Scientists predict that by around 2050, over 100 million Americans will see that level of extreme heat.1 That level of heat affects human health and will lead to more deaths and illnesses. It also changes the types of plants and animals we can raise for food. Extreme heat can lead to crop failure and food shortages, which increase the price of food. This will be bad for everyone, but it will be particularly bad for those with less money. Hundreds of millions of people may face starvation. This terrible outcome is not unavoidable. Thanks to innovations like drought-tolerant seeds and new farming methods, we may be able to prevent it.
Our Jobs
Climate change will affect nearly every part of our economy. Already, it has created new job opportunities. Of course, some companies and jobs will go away. The burning of carbon-based fossil fuels like coal, oil, and natural gas primarily causes climate change. As a result, there will be many job losses in the fossil fuel industry as we move away from polluting fuels. On the other hand, we will see more jobs in renewable energy. Demand for zero- carbon electricity will likely create new industries around green hydrogen and nuclear fusion. Nuclear and hydroelectric plants will require large workforces to build and maintain them. There also will be more jobs for scientists in climate-related fields.
New job opportunities created by climate change will not be limited to scientific and technical fields. For example, business leaders and lawyers will play a key role in adapting the economy to climate change.
Our Systems
Climate change will have a major impact on the complex human systems that govern our modern world. It will require a complete rethinking of our energy, transportation, infrastructure, and food systems. These systems will have to change so that they can operate without creating carbon pollution.
As we respond to climate change, we will transform our energy systems. You’ve probably seen signs of this transformation in the form of renewable energy sources, like solar and wind. To meet future climate goals, we need to increase our ability to produce zero-carbon electricity. This will mean expanding renewables like offshore wind and geothermal power. We will most likely increase the use of nuclear energy.
As we electrify industries that previously ran on fossil fuels, we will see major changes. Take electric vehicles (EVs), for example. Today, EVs make up around 18 percent of all the new cars sold globally. Experts predict that by 2030, they will make up two-thirds of new car sales.2
Climate change will also affect where people live. Just as animal species are migrating in search of more livable habitats, humans will move, too. By 2050, scientists predict sea-level rise will push 150 million people from their homes.3 These people are being called “climate refugees”. The majority of them relocate within their own countries. However, climate change increasingly pushes people across international borders.
Our Role In Shaping The Future
While this article has laid out some of the likely outcomes, our future is by no means set in stone. Already, our planet has warmed enough to cause serious changes in our environment. But the future doesn’t have to be terrible. The impacts of a changing climate are just one part of the story. The other is our response to climate change — the ways we adapt, innovate, and cooperate to build a livable future. Climate change presents some of the biggest challenges humanity has ever had to face, but history has shown that we can solve hard problems. It’s up to us to take the urgent action needed to shape the future we want to see.
1 First Street, “2022 Heat Model Launch,” 2022 (press release). https://firststreet.org/press/2022-heat-model-launch
2 RMI, “EVs to Surpass Two-Thirds of Global Car Sales by 2030, Putting at Risk Nearly Half of Oil Demand, New Research Finds,” 2023 (press release). https://rmi.org/press-release/evs-to-surpass-two-thirds-of-global-car-sales-by-2030-putting-at-risk-nearly-half-of-oil-demand-new-research-finds/
3 New York Times Magazine, Jul. 23, 2020. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/07/23/magazine/climate-migration.html
Molly Sinnott
Molly Sinnott is a member of the Climate Project editorial team. She was previously a classroom reading and writing teacher, specializing in supporting students in executive-function skills development. She focuses on building approachable and inclusive content for a diverse range of students.
Credit: “Envisioning a Climate Future”, Molly Sinnott / OER Project, https://www.oerproject.com/
Image credits
This work is licensed under CC BY 4.0 except for the following:
Cover image: Technicians from CP Solar work on the maintenance of solar panels at a partially solar-powered factory in the industrial area of Nairobi, on October 9, 2023. Renewable energy sources generate over 80 percent of Kenya’s electricity but despite the tremendous potential of the country’s daily insolation, only 1% of the country’s energy mix has been tapped. © LUIS TATO / AFP / Getty Images.
Cities of the future may look very different than they do today. This image shows Singapore’s Garden by the Bay, which uses sustainable design techniques like rain water harvesting and natural cooling systems. By Nextvoyage via Pixels. https://www.pexels.com/photo/supertree-grove-in-gardens-by-the-bay-under-gray-clouds-in-singapore-4128301/
An instructor in South Africa explains to a group of students how solar panels work as part of a program that aims to bring qualified electricians into the renewable energy market. © ROBERTA CIUCCIO / AFP / Getty Images.
Scientists are working to develop nuclear fusion technologies that harness the same reaction that powers the sun and other stars. Nuclear fusion could provide huge amounts of carbon-free energy, but requires much more research and development. © Getty Images Editorial Footage.
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