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Project X – Making a Prediction Part 2

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STUDENT MATERIALSSTUDENT MATERIALSS-1WORLD HISTORY PROJECT / LESSON 4.0PROJECT X – MAKING A PREDICTION PART 2 Preparation• Download Making a Prediction Part 2: Examining China Through Charts • Access to the Our World in Data website: https://ourworldindata.org/• Post-it Notes (four colors)PurposeIn the first Making a Prediction activity, you learned about chart shapes and practiced making and evaluating predictions using a single chart. However, a single piece of evidence is rarely enough to come to an informed conclusion about a topic. This activity will help you learn to make informed predictions using multiple sources of evidence. You will use this skill not only in your final presentation, but also in your life as you navigate decision-making with an ever increasing number of resources at your fingertips..ProcessThis activity begins with analyzing a chart with your class. You will then make a prediction about the future of population growth in China, revising your prediction as you are introduced to additional charts. In the final part of this activity, you will repeat this process with a different country.Step 1Take a look at the social media platforms chart, (on pg. S-3). Describe what the chart shows and what it tells you about how social media has changed in the last five years. Then, make and share predictions about what social media will look like five years in the future. Be sure to provide evidence from the chart as well as from your own experience with and knowledge of social media. Remember to include the components of a prediction, which you learned in Part 1 of this activity. A prediction includes a reference to a specific year or time frame, a description of the rate and direction of change, the catalyst (or reason for the change), and the end point for the prediction—either an actual number or a percentage.Step 2Now it’s time for you to predict whether population in China will go up, go down, or stay the same in the future. Your teacher will mark a scale on the board from 0 to 5 billion people at half-billion increments and organize you in small groups. You will receive four sticky notes, each of a different color. You should use a different color sticky note for your group’s prediction on each chart. Write your names (or a group name) on your four sticky notes. Take a look at the chart on Chart A (population growth in China), in the Making a Prediction Part 2: Examining China Through Charts handout. Work with your group to complete the table starting on pg. S-4. Use the information to make a prediction how China’s population will change 100 years in the future based on Chart A and any previous knowledge you may have. Show your prediction to the class by placing your next sticky note on the scale from 0 to 5 billion. Be ready to share your prediction.Now, look at the chart on Chart B (daily supply of calories in China). Work with your group to complete the table. Repeat this same activity with your group based on the new information you have gathered from Chart B. Do this by simply adding your next sticky note to the board. Maybe your prediction will change or maybe not! Be prepared to explain your prediction to the class.
STUDENT MATERIALSSTUDENT MATERIALSS-2WORLD HISTORY PROJECT / LESSON 4.0PROJECT X – MAKING A PREDICTION PART 2 Repeat this same activity two more times using the charts on Chart C (birth rates) and Chart D (extreme poverty), revising your prediction and adding two more sticky notes to the board as you receive new information.Great! Now let’s put all this information together to finalize your prediction about the future population of China. Write your prediction for the future population of China. Make sure that your prediction includes a time frame (years/date), reasons for the change, an actual population number, and references to the different charts.Step 3Next, your teacher will assign your group a country, or have you choose your own. Your teacher might hand out printouts of the same four charts above for your new country, or have you open the interactive charts on computers. If you are viewing the charts on the computer, you will need to click “Add country” on the chart and replace China with your country. You can find links here:• Chart A: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/population?country=~CHN• Chart B: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/food-supply-kcal?tab=chart&country=~CHN• Chart C: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/children-per-woman-un?tab=chart&time=1950..2015&country=~CHN• Chart D: https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/share-of-the-population-living-in-extreme-poverty?tab=chart&country=~CHNRepeat the same process you used for China with your new country. Look at the same four charts for your new country, making a prediction for what that country’s population will be in 100 years. Do you think the population will go up, down, or stay the same? Adjust your predictions as you come across new evidence. Record the evidence on your worksheet.Be ready to share and explain your predictions with the class!Amazing! Now let’s put all this information together to finalize your prediction about the future population of your new country. Write your prediction for the future population of your new country. Make sure that your prediction includes a time frame (years/date), a description of the trend, reasons for the change, an actual population number, and references to the different charts.
Name:Date:Name:Date:STUDENT MATERIALSS-3WORLD HISTORY PROJECT / LESSON 4.0PROJECT X – MAKING A PREDICTION PART 2 Step 1Directions: Take a look at this chart and answer the questions belowUS teens’ favorite social platform, https://www.marketingcharts.com/demographics-and-audiences/teens-and-younger-108089Data soruce by Piper Jaffray, © MarketingCharts.comDescribe what the chart shows. What does it tell you about how social media has changed between 2015 and 2019?
Name:Date:Name:Date:STUDENT MATERIALSS-4WORLD HISTORY PROJECT / LESSON 4.0PROJECT X – MAKING A PREDICTION PART 2 Make a prediction about how this chart will change in the next five years. Remember to include the components of a prediction, which you learned in Part 1 of this activity. A prediction includes a reference to a specific year or time frame, a description of the rate of change, the catalyst (or reason for the change), and the end point for the prediction—either an actual number or a percentage.Step 2Directions: Take a look at the charts: Chart A (population growth in China), Chart B (daily supply of calories in China), Chart C (birth rates in China), and Chart D (extreme poverty in China) and work with your group to complete the tables below.Chart A (population growth in China)What are three observations you can make about this chart?1.2.3.Describe the overall trend of this chart.(How would you describe the shape of this chart?)Make your prediction. (Be sure to include a date, a population number, a description of the change, and the reasons for the change.)
Name:Date:Name:Date:STUDENT MATERIALSS-5WORLD HISTORY PROJECT / LESSON 4.0PROJECT X – MAKING A PREDICTION PART 2 Chart B (daily supply of calories in China)What are three observations you can make about this chart?1.2.3.Describe the overall trend of this chart.(How would you describe the shape of this chart?)Make your prediction. (Be sure to include a date, a population number, a description of the change, and the reasons for the change.)Chart C (birth rates in China)What are three observations you can make about this chart?1.2.3.Describe the overall trend of this chart.(How would you describe the shape of this chart?)Make your prediction. (Be sure to include a date, a population number, a description of the change, and the reasons for the change.)
Name:Date:Name:Date:STUDENT MATERIALSS-6WORLD HISTORY PROJECT / LESSON 4.0PROJECT X – MAKING A PREDICTION PART 2 Chart D (extreme poverty in China)What are three observations you can make about this chart?1.2.3.Describe the overall trend of this chart.(How would you describe the shape of this chart?)Make your prediction. (Be sure to include a date, a population number, a description of the change, and the reasons for the change.)Great! Now let’s put all this information together to finalize your prediction about the future population of China. In the space below, write your prediction for the future population of China.
Name:Date:Name:Date:STUDENT MATERIALSS-7WORLD HISTORY PROJECT / LESSON 4.0PROJECT X – MAKING A PREDICTION PART 2 Step 3Directions: Repeat the same process you used for China with your new country. Take a look at the charts: Chart A (population growth in _______), Chart B (daily supply of calories in _______), Chart C (birth rates in _______), and Chart D (extreme poverty in _______) and work with your group to complete the tables below.Chart A (population growth in _________)What are three observations you can make about this chart?1.2.3.Describe the overall trend of this chart.(How would you describe the shape of this chart?)Make your prediction. (Be sure to include a date, a population number, a description of the change, and the reasons for the change.)
Name:Date:Name:Date:STUDENT MATERIALSS-8WORLD HISTORY PROJECT / LESSON 4.0PROJECT X – MAKING A PREDICTION PART 2 Chart B (daily supply of calories in _________)What are three observations you can make about this chart?1.2.3.Describe the overall trend of this chart.(How would you describe the shape of this chart?)Make your prediction. (Be sure to include a date, a population number, a description of the change, and the reasons for the change.)Chart C (birth rates in _________)What are three observations you can make about this chart?1.2.3.Describe the overall trend of this chart.(How would you describe the shape of this chart?)Make your prediction. (Be sure to include a date, a population number, a description of the change, and the reasons for the change.)
Name:Date:Name:Date:STUDENT MATERIALSS-9WORLD HISTORY PROJECT / LESSON 4.0PROJECT X – MAKING A PREDICTION PART 2 Chart D (extreme poverty in_________)What are three observations you can make about this chart?1.2.3.Describe the overall trend of this chart.(How would you describe the shape of this chart?)Make your prediction. (Be sure to include a date, a population number, a description of the change, and the reasons for the change.)Amazing! Now let’s put all this information together to finalize your prediction about the future population of your new country. In the space below, write your prediction for the future population of your new country.